Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Sámano		Colindres

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.31	2.99	2.75
	2.32	2.99	2.75
	2.36	3.14	2.78
	2.3	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.88)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.79 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
38.8%

Draw
29.1%

Colindres
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sámano's performance.

Colindres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colindres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sámano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colindres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Sámano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colindres is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sámano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sámano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.11.23	Revilla - Sámano	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Sámano - Bezana	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Sámano - Castro	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Atlético Albericia - Sámano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLLT
- CD Colindres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.11.23	Colindres - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Cartes - Colindres	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Colindres - Tropezón	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Colindres	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Colindres - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
03.04.22	Colindres - Sámano	0:3
05.12.21	Sámano - Colindres	5:1

Sámano - Colindres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide