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Current Win Probability
Escorpiones de Belén 17.9%
Draw 23.7%
Herediano 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
25.9%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
23.9%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escorpiones de Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Herediano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Escorpiones de Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Herediano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Escorpiones de Belén - Herediano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
76. Alvarez J. (G) 19. Serrano J. 6. Mena L. 23. Kilwien P. 11. Fernandez A. 30. Monge N. (C) 8. Munoz C. 10. Fonseca G. 94. Ruiz J. 77. Espinoza I. 21. Venegas J.
31. Lezcano A. (G) 5. Quiros H. 99. Brown K. (C) 38. Montes G. 16. Araya D. 24. Rodriguez S. 22. Murillo A. 25. Bravo E. 10. Aguilar E. 34. Henestrosa J. 33. Lesme F.
Substitutes
5. Arias E. 24. Chaves F. 70. Davila E. 37. Jimenez A. 9. Montiel R. 14. Morales E. 18. Pena R. 25. Rodriguez B. (G) 16. Salazar E. 3. Tello J.
11. Araya R. 1. Carvajal D. (G) 37. Fuller K. 32. Hudson A. 26. Juarez E. 97. Leal R. 80. Matthews D. 20. Rivera R. 27. Suarez A. 28. Vargas S.
Coaches
Arias A.
Wanchope P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Henestrosa J. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
46', Bravo E. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
53', Lesme F. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Monge N. 🟨,
58', Munoz C. 🟨,
60', Aguilar E. 🟨,
68', Monge N. 🟥,
69', Quiros H. ↓, Matthews D. ↑,
70', Venegas J. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
70', Serrano J. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
73', Montiel R. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
78', Murillo A. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Brown K. ⚽,
87', Fernandez A. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
87', Espinoza I. ↓, Chaves F. ↑,
87', Lesme F. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
88', Aguilar E. ↓, Juarez E. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Araya R. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 9).
Escorpiones has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Herediano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Escorpiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Herediano is considered a favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.