The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herediano 63.5%
Draw 21.9%
Pérez Zeledón 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
22.1%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
20.8%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Pérez Zeledón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Herediano - Pérez Zeledón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 99. Brown K. 38. Montes G. 55. Roman Y. 24. Rodriguez S. 8. Cruz A. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 44. Estrada K. 32. Hudson A. 33. Lesme F.
1. Segura B. (G) 12. Trinidad Aguilar Pena M. 5. Fernandez W. (C) 17. Carvajal K. 6. Hernandez L. 15. Porras A. 18. Quesada E. 38. Gonzalez K. 19. Renteria W. 62. Amador A. 9. Alvarado J.
Substitutes
16. Araya D. 11. Araya R. 25. Bravo E. 34. Henestrosa J. 80. Matthews D. 22. Murillo A. 20. Rivera R. 27. Suarez A. 28. Vargas S. 92. Walker A. (G)
10. Angulo M. 90. Cordoba J. 27. Fallas A. 14. Guzman K. 33. Hernandez S. 35. Mora A. (G) 28. Nunez M. 4. Rodriguez R. 20. Rodriguez S. 11. Sequeira B.
Coaches
Wanchope P.
Arias R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Alvarado J. ⚽,
14', Brown K. 🟨,
19', Renteria W. ↓, Angulo M. ↑,
28', Trinidad Aguilar Pena M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Lesme F. ⚽,
45+3', Carvajal K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hudson A. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
57', Estrada K. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
58', Angulo M. 🟨,
60', Quiros H. 🟨,
65', Quiros H. ↓, Matthews D. ↑,
65', Carvajal K. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
65', Quesada E. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Araya R. ⚽,
71', Araya R. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
71', Hernandez L. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Amador A. ⚽,
84', Gonzalez K. ↓, Sequeira B. ↑,
85', Cruz A. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
87', Trinidad Aguilar Pena M. ↓, Guzman K. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Angulo M. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 5.
In recent matches, Herediano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pérez Zeledón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Herediano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Herediano is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 46:15. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Herediano won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.7:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Zeledon
9
2
2
5
7:14
-7
8
9
Herediano
9
2
1
6
8:14
-6
7
Last Results with these Odds
Pérez Zeledón - the odds 6.28 are the expected chance of winning is 14.86%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.