Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu (Eskişehir)


	Eskişehirspor		Balikesirspor

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.85	7.3
	1.43	4.15	5.8
	1.44	4.18	6.55	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.33
	1.45	4.28	6.37
	1.56	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)	4.09 ↑ (3.55)	5.79 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eskişehirspor
61.8%

Draw
22.4%

Balikesirspor
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eskişehirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eskişehirspor's performance.

Balikesirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eskişehirspor than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Eskişehirspor - Balikesirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Akman A. ⚽, Senel M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Akman A. ⚽, Krohn C. (A),
90+3', 3 - 0, Krohn C. ⚽, Akman A. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eskişehirspor won 0.

In recent matches, Eskişehirspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Balikesirspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Eskişehirspor is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Eskişehirspor won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Eskişehirspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eskişehirspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
24.04.26	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
12.04.26	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Eskişehirspor - Kutahyaspor	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Karşıyaka - Eskişehirspor	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Eskişehirspor - Tire 2021	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTW
- Balikesirspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
24.04.26	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
12.04.26	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Balikesirspor	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Balikesirspor - Ayvalıkgücü	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Uşak Belediyespor - Balikesirspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
24.04.26	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	2:1
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
12.04.26	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	1:1
17.12.25	Eskişehirspor - Balikesirspor	0:3
Turkish First League
18.04.21	Eskişehirspor - Balikesirspor	0:3
12.12.20	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	2:2
11.07.20	Balikesirspor - Eskişehirspor	2:0
21.12.19	Eskişehirspor - Balikesirspor	1:2

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