Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Denizli İY Güreller		Balikesirspor

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.4	1.72
	3.68	3.15	1.91
	3.62	3.24	1.99	Watch
	3.6	2.9	1.95
	3.39	3.34	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.32)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizli İY Güreller
24.9%

Draw
28.2%

Balikesirspor
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizli İY Güreller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Balikesirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizli İY Güreller than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Denizli İY Güreller - Balikesirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, Sonmez Y. ⚽, Altunbudak K. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Denizli İY has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Balikesirspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Balikesirspor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Denizli İY won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Balikesirspor ✔	29	16	7	6	55:23	32	55
6	Denizli IY Gureller	29	14	4	11	34:30	4	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizli İY Güreller
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
29.03.26	Kutahyaspor - Denizli İY Güreller	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Karşıyaka	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Tire 2021 - Denizli İY Güreller	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Söke 1970	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bornova - Denizli İY Güreller	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW
- Balikesirspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
29.03.26	Balikesirspor - Ayvalıkgücü	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Uşak Belediyespor - Balikesirspor	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Balikesirspor - Altay	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Balikesirspor - Izmir Çoruhlu	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eskişehir Anadolu - Balikesirspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
13.12.25	Balikesirspor - Denizli İY Güreller	3:1

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