The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Espanyol 26.7%
Draw 28.1%
Athletic Bilbao 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
27.3%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
25.7%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salvador R. (G) 22. Caracas D. 4. Martinez A. 5. Vallejo L. 16. Perea P. 8. Campo A. (C) 20. Torroda A. 15. Martinez L. 11. Baradad O. 19. Arana P. 17. Garcia N.
13. Nanclares A. (G) 19. Vilarino M. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 4. Bibi 17. Nevado N. 5. Valero M. 8. Zubieta M. 18. Ortega S. 30. Agote D. 11. Azkona A. (C) 7. Amezaga J.
Substitutes
9. Angeles 10. Baudet C. 2. Botero S. 23. Browne P. 29. Domenech A. 18. Fergusson O. 13. Munoz M. (G) 7. Pablos J. 6. Torras M.
23. Arana E. 14. Banos L. 21. Campos A. 20. Elexpuru A. 33. Gurtubay E. 3. Landaluze N. 6. Oguiza I. 9. Sanadri 1. Santana O. (G)
Coaches
Monforte S.
Lerga J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Campo A. 🟨,
28', Zubieta M. 🟨,
31', Bibi 🟥,
34', 1 - 0, Arana P. (Pen),
37', Vilarino M. ↓, Landaluze N. ↑,
45+1', Garcia N. 🟨,
45+3', Vallejo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Valero M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
60', Agote D. ↓, Elexpuru A. ↑,
63', Garcia N. ↓, Browne P. ↑,
63', Campo A. ↓, Torras M. ↑,
69', Torras M. 🟨,
71', Arana P. ↓, Baudet C. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Amezaga J. ⚽,
79', Azkona A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
84', Caracas D. 🟨,
87', Martinez L. ↓, Pablos J. ↑,
87', Baradad O. ↓, Fergusson O. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Vallejo L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 1.
Espanyol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Athletic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Espanyol has had a series of home games.
Athletic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).