The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao 58.5%
Draw 25.4%
Eibar 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
26.1%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
27.2%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Athletic Bilbao - Eibar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Nanclares A. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 3. Landaluze N. 4. Bibi 17. Nevado N. 8. Zubieta M. 6. Oguiza I. (C) 18. Ortega S. 15. Pinedo C. 30. Agote D. 21. Campos A.
1. Astralaga E. (G) 6. Etxezarreta A. 4. Andres C. 20. Masegur M. 5. Ojeda P. 11. Camino 7. Altonaga A. (C) 12. Belem A. 23. Moreno E. 19. Martin S. 22. Clement Tukumbuke O.
Substitutes
7. Amezaga J. 23. Arana E. 11. Azkona A. 14. Banos L. 9. Sanadri 1. Santana O. (G) 2. Torre Larranaga M. 5. Valero M. 19. Vilarino M. 10. Zugasti P.
16. Alvarez C. 14. Lacosta I. 28. Lopez M. 13. Marti L. (G) 17. Peckova A. 18. Rico Torres A. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.
Coaches
Lerga J.
Goikoetxea I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Andres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Campos A. ⚽, Agote D. (A),
67', Clement Tukumbuke O. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
67', Ortega S. ↓, Azkona A. ↑,
68', Oguiza I. ↓, Valero M. ↑,
77', Altonaga A. ↓, Valej E. ↑,
77', Masegur M. ↓, Uranga ↑,
77', Pinedo C. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
77', Moreno E. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Azkona A. ⚽, Campos A. (A),
87', Agote D. ↓, Zugasti P. ↑,
87', Campos A. ↓, Banos L. ↑,
90', Andres C. ↓, Rico Torres A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 1.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).