Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Espanyol B		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.83	3	2.13
	3.83	2.92	2.14
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	3.92	2.9	2.03
	3.65	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.5)	3 ↑ (2.9)	2.14 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol B
26.1%

Draw
30.8%

Hércules
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.4%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espanyol B's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol B than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espanyol B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Espanyol B - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol B won 2.

Espanyol B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hércules in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hércules will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Espanyol B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espanyol B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.01.24	Espanyol B - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Espanyol B	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Espanyol B - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Andratx - Espanyol B	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Espanyol B - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWLW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.01.24	Lleida - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.23	Hércules - Torrellano	7:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	Hércules - Badalona Futur	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:5 ✺
03.12.23	Hércules - Manresa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.09.23	Hércules - Espanyol B	1:0
11.02.23	Espanyol B - Hércules	1:0
24.09.22	Hércules - Espanyol B	2:1
08.12.19	Espanyol B - Hércules	3:2
27.01.19	Espanyol B - Hércules	1:2
08.09.18	Hércules - Espanyol B	1:0
19.03.17	Hércules - Espanyol B	2:1

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