Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.9
	4	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.77	3.1	2.08
	3.77	3.07	2.08
	3.68	3.06	1.99
	4	3.05	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	3.08 ↑ (3)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
23.9%

Draw
29.8%

Hércules
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

29.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Peña Deportiva - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.12.23	CE Europa - Peña Deportiva	6:0 ✺
26.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Penya Independent - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.12.23	Hércules - Manresa	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Hércules - Alzira	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Terrassa - Hércules	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hércules - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.03.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	2:0
23.10.22	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	2:1
07.02.21	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	2:1
08.11.20	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	1:0
18.03.18	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:0
29.10.17	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	1:0

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