Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Espeleño		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.15
	3.25	2.8	2.07
	3.2	2.9	2.13
	3.41	2.88	2.12
	3.4	2.8	2.2
	3.44	3	2.14
	3.25	2.95	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
27.2%

Draw
31%

Xerez CD
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

30.1%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Espeleño - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Espeleño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Xerez CD will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Espeleño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.12.22	Córdoba B - Espeleño	4:2 ✺
08.12.22	Espeleño - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Espeleño - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Espeleño - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Antoniano - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTTWL
- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.12.22	Xerez CD - Conil	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Bollullos - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
04.12.22	Xerez CD - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.11.22	Xerez CD - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.11.22	Cartaya - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.01.19	Xerez CD - Espeleño	3:1
23.09.18	Espeleño - Xerez CD	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Espeleño - Xerez CD	2:0

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