Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Espeleño		La Palma

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	2.01	3.25	3.4
	1.99	3.39	3.45	Watch
	1.98	3.28	3.47
	2.01	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.22)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	3.42 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
45.9%

Draw
27.6%

La Palma
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

La Palma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Palma than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Espeleño - La Palma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Espeleño has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches La Palma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Espeleño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Espeleño will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Espeleño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.03.25	Espeleño - Cartaya	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Pozoblanco - Espeleño	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Espeleño - Inter Sevilla	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Sevilla C - Espeleño	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Puente Genil - Espeleño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- La Palma CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.03.25	La Palma - Conil	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cartaya - La Palma	3:3 ✺
23.02.25	La Palma - Utrera	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	La Palma - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Inter Sevilla - La Palma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
03.11.24	La Palma - Espeleño	1:1
28.03.24	Espeleño - La Palma	1:0
12.11.23	La Palma - Espeleño	1:2

Espeleño - La Palma