The best margin for this event is 12.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pozoblanco 63.4%
Draw 22.5%
Espeleño 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
22.2%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
13.8%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pozoblanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozoblanco than the current prediction. (-23.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pozoblanco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espeleño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Diawara A. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Bernal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Diawara A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Pozoblanco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Espeleño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pozoblanco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Espeleño have a series of guest games.
In this match Pozoblanco is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pozoblanco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Pozoblanco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).