The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esperança de Lagos 31.9%
Draw 30.8%
Juventude de Évora 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
29.1%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
29.5%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esperança de Lagos's performance.
Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude de Évora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esperança de Lagos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude de Évora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 5).
Esperança de Lagos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Juventude de Évora is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Esperança de Lagos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Esperança de Lagos have a series of guest games.
Juventude de Évora will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Esperança de Lagos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Esperança de Lagos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.