The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Espoir 9.3%
Draw 20.4%
Kiyovu Sports 70.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.7%
23.4%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.5%
23%
64.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espoir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Kiyovu Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiyovu Sports's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoir than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiyovu Sports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Espoir won 1.
Espoir is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kiyovu in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recently Espoir have a series of guest games.
In this match Kiyovu is certain favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Espoir won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Espoir won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.