Match Info

RWANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Espoir		Kigali

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	5.88	3.33	1.56
	5.8	3.72	1.55
	5.8	3.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↓ (5.89)	3.54 ↑ (3.39)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoir
15.8%

Draw
25.6%

Kigali
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

26.7%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

26.1%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoir than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espoir won 0.

Espoir is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kigali is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kigali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Espoir have a series of guest games.

In this match Kigali is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Espoir won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 4-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Espoir won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoir FC Rwanda
Rwanda Premier League
26.02.23	Marines - Espoir	4:0 ✺
18.02.23	Gorilla - Espoir	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Etincelles - Espoir	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Espoir - Bugesera	1:1 ✺
27.01.23	Police - Espoir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLLTW
- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
24.02.23	Etincelles - Kigali	2:2 ✺
16.02.23	Kigali - Sunrise	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Gorilla - Kigali	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Muhazi United - Kigali	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Kigali - Marines	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
11.12.22	Kigali - Espoir	4:0
13.02.22	Kigali - Espoir	4:0
30.10.21	Espoir - Kigali	0:2
13.06.21	Kigali - Espoir	4:0
28.11.19	Espoir - Kigali	0:1
18.05.19	Espoir - Kigali	1:1
05.01.19	Kigali - Espoir	3:2

Espoir - Kigali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide