Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Baden-Württemberg - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Essingen		Mutschelbach

	1	X	2
	1.55	5	4
	1.57	5.33	3.95
	1.53	4.66	4.69
	1.55	5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.4)	5 ↑ (4.49)	4.16 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essingen
59.4%

Draw
18.4%

Mutschelbach
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

20.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

20.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Essingen's performance.

Mutschelbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mutschelbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essingen than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutschelbach than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mutschelbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Essingen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Essingen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Essingen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Essingen
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
26.04.24	Göppinger - Essingen	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Essingen - Backnang	5:1 ✺
13.04.24	Villingen - Essingen	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Essingen - Reutlingen	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Essingen - Offenburger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- ATSV Mutschelbach
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
27.04.24	Mutschelbach - Offenburger	5:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ravensburg - Mutschelbach	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Mutschelbach - Holzhausen	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Normannia Gmünd - Mutschelbach	6:0 ✺
28.03.24	Mutschelbach - Nöttingen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
14.10.23	Mutschelbach - Essingen	3:1

Essingen - Mutschelbach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide