Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Baden-Württemberg - Round 26

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Normannia Gmünd		Mutschelbach

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.5
	1.84	3.81	3.63
	1.85	3.81	3.63
	1.83	3.68	3.59
	1.83	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.26)	3.76 ↑ (3.51)	3.57 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Normannia Gmünd
49.9%

Draw
24.4%

Mutschelbach
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Normannia Gmünd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Normannia Gmünd's performance.

Mutschelbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mutschelbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Normannia Gmünd than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Normannia Gmünd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutschelbach than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mutschelbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Aschauer A. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Gnaase M. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Aschauer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 4 - 0, Gnaase M. ⚽,
71', 5 - 0, Aschauer A. ⚽,
75', 6 - 0, Molinari L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 11).

Normannia Gmünd is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mutschelbach is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mutschelbach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Normannia Gmünd will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Normannia Gmünd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Normannia Gmünd
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
30.03.24	Göppinger - Normannia Gmünd	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Normannia Gmünd - Backnang	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Villingen - Normannia Gmünd	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Normannia Gmünd - Essingen	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Offenburger - Normannia Gmünd	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW
- ATSV Mutschelbach
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
28.03.24	Mutschelbach - Nöttingen	2:2 ✺
22.03.24	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mutschelbach	5:1 ✺
16.03.24	Mutschelbach - Bietigheim-Bissingen	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Denzlingen - Mutschelbach	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mutschelbach - VfR Mannheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
23.09.23	Mutschelbach - Normannia Gmünd	3:1

Normannia Gmünd - Mutschelbach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide