The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Este 37.9%
Draw 29.5%
Caldiero Terme 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
27.7%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
28.9%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Este than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Este - Caldiero Terme Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Zerbato L. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, Orfeini T. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Este won 1.
Este has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Caldiero Terme is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Este could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Este has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Este against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 1:9 goals (averaging 0.3:2.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Este - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Caldiero Terme - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.14%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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