Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Conegliano		Luparense

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.25
	2.05	3.26	3.34	Watch
	2.04	3.22	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conegliano
44.5%

Draw
28.1%

Luparense
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conegliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Conegliano aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Conegliano - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).

Conegliano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luparense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Conegliano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Conegliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	9	5	4	0	15:3	12	19
9	Conegliano	9	4	1	4	7:10	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Luparense - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conegliano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.04.26	Treviso - Conegliano	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Conegliano - Union Clodiense	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Legnago Salus - Conegliano	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Conegliano - Calvi Noale	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Brian Lignano - Conegliano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWLWW
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.04.26	Luparense - Mestre	0:1 penalties ✺
02.04.26	Obermais - Luparense	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Luparense - San Luigi	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Treviso - Luparense	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Luparense - Altavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
07.12.25	Luparense - Conegliano	0:0

Conegliano - Luparense