Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 34

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Arman Gohar

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.6	12
	1.27	5.38	7.78
	1.33	4.2	7.5
	1.25	5.2	10.75	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	4.8 ↑ (3.77)	9.37 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
71.2%

Draw
19%

Arman Gohar
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

22.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal Khuzestan's performance.

Arman Gohar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal Khuzestan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arman Gohar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Arman Gohar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Arman Gohar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal Khuzestan: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2.

Esteghlal Khuzestan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arman Gohar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arman Gohar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Esteghlal Khuzestan is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Division 1
17.05.23	Khoosheh Talai - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:2 ✺
04.05.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Chooka Talesh - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLW
- Arman Gohar
Iran Division 1
17.05.23	Arman Gohar - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Arman Gohar	1:1 ✺
04.05.23	Arman Gohar - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Arman Gohar	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
01.01.23	Arman Gohar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:2
11.03.22	Arman Gohar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
06.11.21	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Arman Gohar	0:3
26.04.21	Arman Gohar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0
16.12.20	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Arman Gohar	1:0
25.07.20	Arman Gohar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0
18.12.19	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Arman Gohar	0:0

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