Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 14

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Nassiri Stadium (Yazd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Taban TV


	Chadormalou Ardakan		Esteghlal Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	2	2.92	4.05
	1.89	2.94	5.9
	1.91	2.8	4.6
	2	2.88	3.97	Watch
	1.96	2.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.98)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	4.54 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chadormalou Ardakan
47.3%

Draw
32.3%

Esteghlal Khuzestan
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

31.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

30.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chadormalou Ardakan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chadormalou Ardakan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chadormalou will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chadormalou: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chadormalou (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (5.03) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sedghi H. (G) 33. Portocarrero S. 5. Sadeghian S. 2. Mohammadfar S. 70. Safari Laksar A. 10. Habibinezhad H. 3. Arta A. 78. Khosravi M. 11. Simisterra R. 88. Mashhadi S. 20. Otazu M.	1. Kia M. (G) 60. Baghaki S. D. 77. Ahmadi M. M. 66. Mehdizadeh M. 3. Abbasi A. 29. Latifi G. 8. Bouhamdan H. 6. Sharifi M. 11. Koohi A. 16. Jalalivand A. 7. Rostami A.
Substitutes
90. Asiabanpour A. (G) 97. Eslamtalab A. 29. Jabireh R. 7. Khodadadi A. 13. Mahmoudabadi R. 9. Mirzaei R. 77. Mohammadhossein K. 30. Moslemi Javid M. 80. Negahdari I. 66. Taha Farahani M. 6. Taheran A. 34. Vitao	33. Afshin O. (G) 4. Ahle S. M. 70. Ahmadi H. 48. Fallahian M. R. 15. Karami A. 26. Khoshbakht M. 13. Mousavi M. 12. Sazegari E. 21. Simanpour S. 88. Zavari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Simisterra R. ⚽, Habibinezhad H. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Simisterra R. ⚽, Portocarrero S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Safari Laksar A. ↓, Taha Farahani M. ↑,
57', Baghaki S. D. ↓, Ahmadi H. ↑,
57', Sharifi M. ↓, Zavari M. ↑,
59', Habibinezhad H. ↓, Mahmoudabadi R. ↑,
59', Mashhadi S. ↓, Khodadadi A. ↑,
64', Khosravi M. 🟨,
71', Arta A. 🟨,
71', Portocarrero S. ↓, Mirzaei R. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Bouhamdan H. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 3 - 1, Mahmoudabadi R. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
87', Simisterra R. ↓, Jabireh R. ↑,
90+1', Bouhamdan H. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 14).

Chadormalou is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Esteghlal Khuzestan has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Chadormalou is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chadormalou won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chadormalou won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chadormalou Ardakan
Iran Pro League
10.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:2 ✺
04.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Chadormalou Ardakan	3:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWW
- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
09.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
20.02.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:0
21.09.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:1
Iran Division 1
04.05.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:2
18.11.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:0

Upcoming Matches