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Current Win Probability
Esteghlal Khuzestan 8.3%
Draw 24.9%
Tractor Sazi 66.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
25.4%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.5%
24.4%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal Khuzestan's form might have worsened.
Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tractor Sazi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal Khuzestan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tractor Sazi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Esteghlal Khuzestan - Tractor Sazi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
78. Rezaei M. A. (G) 75. Jafari F. 15. Karami A. 44. Ahle S. M. 77. Ahmadi M. 45. Mohammadi O. 16. Sharafi A. 8. Bouhamdan H. 7. Rostami A. 34. Zergani J. 47. Bazgir S.
1. Beiranvand A. (G) 18. Moharrami S. 58. Daneshgar M. 3. Khalilzadeh S. 22. Naderi M. 17. Kazemayn M. 6. Hosseini M. 5. Khamrobekov O. 11. Esmaeilifar D. 70. Moghanlou S. 99. Hosseinzadeh A.
Substitutes
11. Abbasi A. 23. Farhadi A. 1. Kia M. (G) 66. Mehdizadeh M. 13. Mousavi M. 10. Savaed A. 12. Sazegari E. 6. Sharifi M. 3. Soleimani A. 5. Soltanimehr M. 88. Zavari M.
33. Faraji F. 71. Fazeli M. 10. Habibinejad H. 7. Halilovic T. 81. Jafari P. (G) 88. Karimazar S. 27. Khorrami A. 77. Namari K. 2. Shiri M. 19. Strkalj T. 4. Zakipour M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Sharafi A. 🟨,
45+2', Khalilzadeh S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hosseini M. ↓, Halilovic T. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Rostami A. ⚽, Bazgir S. (A),
61', Bazgir S. ↓, Mousavi M. ↑,
64', Moharrami S. ↓, Habibinejad H. ↑,
64', Khamrobekov O. ↓, Strkalj T. ↑,
77', Zergani J. ↓, Mehdizadeh M. ↑,
77', Sharafi A. ↓, Sazegari E. ↑,
84', Kazemayn M. ↓, Khorrami A. ↑,
84', Mohammadi O. ↓, Sharifi M. ↑,
88', Daneshgar M. 🟨,
90+3', Hosseinzadeh A. ↓, Faraji F. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tractor Sazi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Tractor Sazi is considered a favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:35. (average 0.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).