Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Esteghlal Molasani		Shahrdari Astara

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	2.02	2.67	4.12
	2.02	2.68	4.12
	2.2	2.88	3.1
	2.03	2.74	4.1
	2.06	2.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.82 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Molasani
43.7%

Draw
32.7%

Shahrdari Astara
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

33%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

32.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Molasani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Shahrdari Astara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Molasani than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Astara than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Esteghlal Molasani will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Molasani won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Esteghlal Molasani will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Molasani won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal Molasani won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Molasani
Iran Division 1
09.11.23	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Molasani	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Mes Kerman - Esteghlal Molasani	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Esteghlal Molasani	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWT
- Shahrdari Astara
Iran Division 1
09.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Darya Babol - Shahrdari Astara	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Shahrdari Astara - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
04.05.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara	0:0
18.11.22	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Molasani	1:0
05.04.22	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Molasani	0:0
22.11.21	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara	0:0
26.04.21	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara	1:0
16.12.20	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Molasani	3:1

Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara