Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday


	Fajr Sepasi		Esteghlal Molasani

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.2	6
	1.58	3.16	6.33
	1.59	3.16	6.33
	1.54	3.38	6.4
	1.59	3.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	6.25 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
57.4%

Draw
28.1%

Esteghlal Molasani
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

28.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Esteghlal Molasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Molasani than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

Fajr Sepasi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Esteghlal Molasani is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fajr Sepasi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fajr Sepasi to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fajr Sepasi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
03.11.23	Ario Eslamshahr - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
27.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Darya Babol - Fajr Sepasi	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Astara	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWW
- Esteghlal Molasani
Iran Division 1
02.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Mes Kerman - Esteghlal Molasani	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Esteghlal Molasani	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
05.04.23	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Molasani	1:2
31.10.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Fajr Sepasi	1:1
20.05.21	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Molasani	2:1
04.01.21	Esteghlal Molasani - Fajr Sepasi	1:1

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