Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	19:00	Soccernet TV


	Estonia U21		France U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	41.00	20.00	1.02
	35.00	15.00	1.03	Watch
	26.00	17.50	1.02
	41	15.5	1.03	Watch
	26.00	8.25	1.01
	38.00	15.50	1.00	Watch
	35.00	12.00	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	34.57 ↑ (32.25)	14.82 ↑ (13.63)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia U21
2.7%

Draw
6.2%

France U21
91.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

2.9%

6.8%

90.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

France U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Estonia U21 - France U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. France U21 will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. France U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 - France U21 (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. France U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vainula J. (G) Harju JK Laagri 7. Lohmatov A. FK Pohronie 19. Pihela O. Flora 6. Vaher A. Harju JK Laagri 3. Kolobov M. Flora 2. Tovstik S. Flora 18. Jurisoo T. Kuressaare 5. Zuravljov E. Narva 14. Hoim O. (C) Paide Linnameeskond 13. Pajo T. Parnu JK Vaprus 16. Kriis K. Harju JK Laagri	1. Jaouen E. (G) Newcastle Utd 4. Ganiou I. Lens 22. Gadou J. Dortmund 15. Zeze N. Neom SC 17. Methalie D. Sunderland 11. Mayulu S. PSG 5. Danois K. Auxerre 2. Bamba A. Newcastle Utd 14. Mbappe E. Lille 7. Tel M. (C) Tottenham 12. Ngoura S. Cercle Brugge
Substitutes
20. Agaptsev S. Narva 17. Borolinstsikov A. Kalju 10. Eerme K. Harju JK Laagri 23. Lehtmets G. Levadia 1. Nomm O. (G) Parnu JK Vaprus 15. Piil R. Kuressaare 8. Siht R. Kalju 11. Smirnov R. Paide Linnameeskond 4. Veering R. Flora	9. Bahoya J. Leeds 18. Bakola D. Sassuolo 10. Bouabre S. Al Hilal 21. Canvot J. Crystal Palace 20. Lebreton N. Nijmegen 13. Mawissa C. Monaco 16. Toure I. (G) Aubagne FC 8. Ugochukwu L. Galatasaray 19. Versini G. Brest
Coaches
Sarajarvi J.	Baticle G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mbappe E. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
17', Gadou J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Ngoura S. ⚽, Bamba A. (A),
28', Tovstik S. 🟥,
41', Mayulu S. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ganiou I. ↓, Canvot J. ↑,
61', Zuravljov E. ↓, Siht R. ↑,
61', Pajo T. ↓, Lehtmets G. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Bahoya J. ⚽, Canvot J. (A),
79', Tel M. ↓, Versini G. ↑,
79', Danois K. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
79', Jurisoo T. ↓, Borolinstsikov A. ↑,
79', Kriis K. ↓, Eerme K. ↑,
87', Hoim O. ↓, Agaptsev S. ↑,
88', Zeze N. 🟨,

Preview

The betting markets point to France U21 as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Estonia U21 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:12 (averaging 0.5:6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia U21
UEFA Euro U21
25.09.26	Estonia U21 - Faroe Islands U21	1:2 ✺
Baltic Cup U21
07.06.26	Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21	2:2 ✺
05.06.26	Latvia U21 - Estonia U21	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Switzerland U21 - Estonia U21	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Iceland U21 - Estonia U21	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTLL
- France U21
UEFA Euro U21
25.09.26	Iceland U21 - France U21	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	France U21 - Iceland U21	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Luxembourg U21 - France U21	1:5 ✺
17.11.25	France U21 - Faroe Islands U21	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Switzerland U21 - France U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
13.10.25	France U21 - Estonia U21	6:1
Friendly
25.03.15	France U21 - Estonia U21	6:0

Estonia U21 - France U21