Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Estradense		Atlético Arteixo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	2.07	3.08	3.54
	2.40	2.25	4.56	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.08	2.92	3.62
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
44%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético Arteixo
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atlético Arteixo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Arteixo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Estradense - Atlético Arteixo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Martinez P. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Estradense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Estradense	5	2	1	2	8:9	-1	7
14	Atletico Arteixo	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.05.26	Estradense - Barco	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Compostela - Estradense	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Estradense - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Montañeros - Estradense	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Estradense - Arosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWT
- Atlético Arteixo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Atlético Arteixo - Silva SD	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Céltiga - Atlético Arteixo	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Arteixo - Juventud Cambados	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Boiro - Atlético Arteixo	6:0 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Arteixo - Barco	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	1:1
16.11.25	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	2:2
20.04.25	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	2:1
06.12.24	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	0:2
13.04.24	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	0:2
25.11.23	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	0:0
02.04.23	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	0:1

Estradense - Atlético Arteixo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide