Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Estradense		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.15	3.85
	1.9	3.07	3.92
	1.9	3.16	4.05	Watch
	1.89	3.14	3.98
	1.92	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.29)	3.13 (3.13)	3.88 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
47.5%

Draw
29%

Polvorín
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estradense's performance.

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polvorín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polvorín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estradense - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Gomez R. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	RC Villalbes - Estradense	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Estradense - Noia	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Viveiro - Estradense	3:4 ✺
20.10.24	Estradense - Sarriana	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Alondras - Estradense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLW
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Polvorín - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Somozas - Polvorín	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Polvorín - Boiro	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Arosa - Polvorín	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	UD Ourense - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.01.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:0
10.09.23	Polvorín - Estradense	0:0
03.04.22	Polvorín - Estradense	3:0
28.11.21	Estradense - Polvorín	0:1
24.11.19	Estradense - Polvorín	3:1

Estradense - Polvorín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide