Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Estradense		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	3.85	6.1
	1.5	3.92	6.23
	1.49	3.9	6.26	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.45	3.75	6.9
	1.45	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	3.83 ↓ (4)	6.28 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
62%

Draw
23.6%

Noia
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

21.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Estradense - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 1.

Estradense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Noia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Estradense has had a series of away games.

Recently, Noia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Estradense is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Estradense	5	2	1	2	8:9	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.03.26	RC Villalbes - Estradense	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Estradense - Barbadás	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Alondras - Estradense	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gran Peña - Estradense	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Céltiga - Estradense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTLL
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.03.26	Noia - Somozas	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Montañeros - Noia	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Noia - Arosa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Noia - Viveiro	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Noia - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Noia - Estradense	1:1
25.05.25	Estradense - Noia	2:0
17.05.25	Noia - Estradense	1:1
16.03.25	Noia - Estradense	2:2
01.11.24	Estradense - Noia	0:0
19.03.22	Noia - Estradense	0:1

Estradense - Noia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide