The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora U23 31.9%
Draw 26.4%
Farense U23 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33%
29.2%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
28.2%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Farense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vital A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 19th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 1.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Farense U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Estrela U23 has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estrela U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
SC Farense U23
10
3
3
4
15:17
-2
12
20
Estrela U23
10
1
3
6
10:19
-9
6
Last Results with these Odds
Estrela da Amadora U23 - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 32.96%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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