Match Info
Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 6Date: 28 January 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Canal 11 |
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Estrela da Amadora U23 |
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Farense U23 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.45 |
3.15 |
2.58 |
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2.5 |
3.4 |
2.73 |
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2.51 |
3.45 |
2.62 |
 Watch |
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2.4 |
3 |
2.6 |
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2.48 |
3.2 |
2.52 |
Watch |
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2.45 |
3.14 |
2.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.63) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
2.62 ↑
(2.43) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora U23
37% | Draw
28.3% | Farense U23
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Farense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 1.Estrela U23 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Farense U23 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).Estrela U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Estrela U23 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | SC Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
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| 18 | Estrela U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Farense U23 - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23 | | | 19.11.25 | Farense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 | 4:0 | | 21.10.25 | Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23 | 0:2 | | 06.11.24 | Farense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 | 2:2 | | 21.08.24 | Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23 | 2:1 | | 07.11.23 | Farense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 | 2:2 | | 22.08.23 | Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23 | 0:0 | | 17.01.23 | Farense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 | 1:2 |
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