The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrela do Norte 40.1%
Draw 29.8%
Noroeste 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
29%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
29.8%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela do Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela do Norte than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Estrela do Norte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Noroeste have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela do Norte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Estrela do Norte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.