Match Info

Capixaba - Round 4

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Vilavelhense		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.82
	3.64	3.08	1.98
	3.68	3.22	1.96	Watch
	4	3.5	1.73
	3.66	3.14	1.96
	3.6	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.28)	3.22 ↓ (3.46)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilavelhense
24.3%

Draw
28.1%

Noroeste
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.2%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Vilavelhense - Noroeste Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Noroeste (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Pacheco (G) 5. Borjao 9. Daniel Rodrigues 4. Gabriel Dembele 11. Guilherme 8. Jhonatan 10. Juninho 6. Kainandro 7. Lucas Bonete 2. Makelele 3. Palacios Cantillo J. D.	1. Giovani (G) 9. David Lima 7. Erlon 6. Felipe Affonso 8. Jaquison 10. Lucas Silva 23. Mauricio 11. Ribeiro S. 22. Romulo 5. Simao M. 3. Sorriso
Substitutes
17. Alberto 19. Campos Almeida E. d. S. 15. Davi Freitas 14. Fellipi Marques 23. Fernando 18. Gabriel Amorim 20. Jose V. 21. Kelvin 12. Matheus Cabral (G) 13. Sanchez A. 22. Shaider 16. Wesley	19. Alexandre 12. Alexandre Castro (G) 13. Antonio Junior 21. Edgar Neto 18. Gabriel Lisboa 17. Guilherme Brito 15. Ismael 20. Jorge Eduardo 2. Kauan 16. Matheus Recife 14. Vinicinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Mauricio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jhonatan ↓, Alberto ↑,
48', David Lima 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽,
56', Alberto 🟨,
63', David Lima ↓, Guilherme Brito ↑,
65', Simao M. 🟨,
69', Simao M. ↓, Matheus Recife ↑,
70', Erlon ↓, Alexandre ↑,
72', Daniel Rodrigues ↓, Shaider ↑,
79', Mauricio ↓, Gabriel Lisboa ↑,
79', Lucas Silva ↓, Edgar Neto ↑,
86', Juninho ↓, Kelvin ↑,
90', Lucas Pacheco 🟨,
90+5', Romulo 🟨,
90+5', Guilherme ↓, Jose V. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).

In this match, Noroeste is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
20.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vilavelhense - Rio Branco AC ES	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
12.07.25	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	1:1 ✺
07.07.25	Vilavelhense - Vitória ES	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.9 WLLTL
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
22.01.26	Noroeste - Serra	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Noroeste - Forte Rio Bananal	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
26.07.25	Vitória ES - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Noroeste - Vitória ES	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
29.01.25	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	2:1
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
22.06.24	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.02.23	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	2:1
12.03.22	Vilavelhense - Noroeste	1:0

Vilavelhense - Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide