Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estudiantes La Plata 2		Tigre 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4	6.75
	1.49	3.85	6	Watch
	1.55	3.75	5.89
	1.5	3.84	6.31	Watch
	1.45	3.7	7.09
	1.49	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)	6.34 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata 2
61.7%

Draw
23.8%

Tigre 2
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.2%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tigre 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Arfaras L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, Andrusisen J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Estudiantes LP 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes LP 2 won 3.

Estudiantes LP 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigre 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Estudiantes LP 2 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes LP 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes LP 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
08.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	2:2 ✺
24.04.25	Barracas Central 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTTW
- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.25	Tigre 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Barracas Central 2 - Tigre 2	3:1 ✺
29.04.25	Tigre 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Tigre 2	3:1 ✺
15.04.25	Tigre 2 - Central Córdoba 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
15.10.24	Tigre 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:3
14.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:0
05.09.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:2
29.01.23	Tigre 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2
15.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	0:2
18.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	2:1

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