Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.65	4.5	Watch
	1.6	3.25	6.25
	2.08	2.72	4.05	Watch
	2.13	2.73	4.75
	2.05	2.8	4.59	Watch
	2.15	2.5	4.2
	2.05	2.62	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.61)	2.75 ↓ (3.35)	4.67 ↓ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
46.1%

Draw
33.9%

Almirante Brown
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

27.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Caseros's form might have worsened.

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almirante Brown's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 4. Dure F. 6. Albarracin M. 2. Benitez J. 3. Squie T. 7. Acosta E. 5. Melo R. (C) 8. Sena F. 11. Degregorio B. 9. Rostagno D. 10. Salas T.	1. Galvan B. (C) 4. Alegre Rojas G. 2. Dattola A. 6. Cabral G. 3. Villoldo T. 7. Cardozo E. 5. Velazquez J. 8. Iglesias L. 10. Almada T. 9. Vera S. 11. Gonzalez R.
Substitutes
13. Ardiles F. 14. Bernardi B. 17. Camacho S. 18. Correa J. 20. Lucero J. 19. Melo A. 15. Nunez T. 16. Rodriguez R. 12. Vila F. (G)	15. Abreliano M. 16. Altamirano G. 12. Bottini A. (G) 17. Gauna S. 13. Levi M. 14. Quignon F. 18. Quinteros T. 19. Zanotti M. 20. Zarate T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Dattola A. ↓, Levi M. ↑,
17', Acosta E. 🟨,
42', Squie T. 🟨,
45+1', Cardozo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cardozo E. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
55', Acosta E. 🟨,
66', Salas T. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
66', Degregorio B. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
70', Gonzalez R. ↓, Zanotti M. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Vera S. ⚽, Villoldo T. (A),
74', Zanotti M. 🟨,
77', Dure F. ↓, Ardiles F. ↑,
78', Sena F. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
78', Rostagno D. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.

In this match, CA Estudiantes is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.02.26	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Racing de Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.11.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.02.26	Almirante Brown - All Boys	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Los Andes - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almirante Brown - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.25	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
15.02.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	5:2
12.03.22	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
24.07.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	1:2
13.03.21	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1
Argentinian Primera B
27.01.19	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2
20.08.18	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	2:0

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