Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Almirante Brown		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.57	3.4	Watch
	2.42	2.62	3.4	Watch
	2.68	2.53	3.56
	2.42	2.67	3.63	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3.4
	2.51	2.64	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
37.3%

Draw
35.9%

Defensores de Belgrano
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

36.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

36.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Defensores de Belgrano aligns with the current prediction.

Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 2. Cardozo E. 5. Altamirano G. 6. Cabral G. 3. Villoldo T. 7. Abreliano M. 4. Alegre Rojas G. 8. Quignon F. 10. Iglesias L. 9. Vera S. 11. Gonzalez R.	1. Medina A. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 3. Perez I. 5. Gutierrez I. 2. Perez A. 8. De Tomasso J. (C) 6. Gamarra G. 10. Benitez A. 9. Gonzalez E. 7. Moyano P. 11. Dellarossa J.
Substitutes
19. Almada T. 18. Belloso M. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gauna S. 13. Jara L. 17. Martinez E. 15. Velazquez J. 14. Velurtas P. 20. Zarate T.	20. Aquilino G. 17. Ciccolini L. 18. Garcia D. 16. Gomez B. 15. Jerez Silva L. 14. Monteagudo J. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 19. Tcherkaski F. 13. Vaquer N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Altamirano G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Altamirano G. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
55', Vera S. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
66', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
67', Quignon F. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
67', Villoldo T. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
74', Moyano P. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
74', Dellarossa J. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
76', Abreliano M. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
78', Benitez A. ↓, Jerez Silva L. ↑,
83', Gonzalez E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
83', Gutierrez I. ↓, Vaquer N. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Tcherkaski F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.

Almirante Brown has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Defensores is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almirante Brown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Almirante Brown could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Racing de Córdoba - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Almirante Brown - All Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTLWW
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Los Andes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.09.25	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
06.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	1:1
23.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	3:0
04.05.24	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
11.09.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:1
30.04.23	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
02.10.22	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	2:3

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