Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.5	3.1	Watch
	2.65	2.65	2.9
	2.72	2.62	2.98	Watch
	2.89	2.69	3.23
	2.97	2.34	3.33	Watch
	2.75	2.5	3
	2.86	2.54	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.71)	2.55 ↓ (2.72)	3.09 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
33.2%

Draw
36.6%

Godoy Cruz
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

34.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

34.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 2. Albarracin M. 5. Melo R. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Squie T. 7. Ardiles F. 4. Dure F. 8. Sena F. 11. Camacho S. 10. Correa J. (C) 9. Almiron E.	1. Ramirez R. (C) 4. Arce L. 2. Burgos E. 6. Rossi T. 3. Moran J. 5. Gil Romero G. 8. Poggi V. 7. Ulariaga N. 10. Pozzo T. A. 11. Sosa M. 9. Pino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Arce L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Almiron E. ⚽, Caro Nicolas (A),
57', Rossi T. 🟨,
60', Camacho S. 🟨,
65', Sosa M. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
70', Dure F. ↓, Berizovsky A. ↑,
70', Correa J. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
70', Moran J. ↓, Milo F. ↑,
70', Ulariaga N. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
75', Almiron E. ↓, Salas T. ↑,
81', Arce L. ↓, Gerometta F. ↑,
82', Pozzo T. A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
82', Camacho S. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
82', Sena F. ↓, Sanchez de Leon M. ↑,
87', Burgos E. 🟨,
89', Gil Romero G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Godoy Cruz - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Colón	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	San Miguel - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTW
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Godoy Cruz - All Boys	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Los Andes - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Godoy Cruz - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Godoy Cruz - Deportivo Morón	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Colón - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
19.07.16	Godoy Cruz - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0

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