Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)


	Acassuso		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.7	2.3	Watch
	3.45	2.68	2.35
	3.61	2.84	2.41
	3.57	2.78	2.36	Watch
	3.5	2.6	2.4
	3.59	2.74	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.85)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	2.36 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
26.2%

Draw
34.2%

Estudiantes de Caseros
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

34.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Caseros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Caseros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Acassuso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 7. Raccio J. 8. Dubini K. (C) 5. De Stefano D. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Rodriguez T. 11. Senn F.	1. Campisi N. (G) 4. Bernardi B. (C) 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Quinteros F. 7. Ardiles F. 10. Correa J. 5. Melo R. 8. Sena F. 9. Rostagno D. 11. Acosta E.
Substitutes
16. Acosta N. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Dordoni B. 19. Gomez Y. 17. Perez P. 13. Pioli L. 18. Reynoso R. 15. Roberts D. 20. Sena F.	13. Albarracin M. 16. Camacho S. 17. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 18. Melo A. 19. Salas T. 15. Squie T. 20. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Dubini K. 🟨,
32', Bernardi B. 🟨,
42', Ardiles F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Bellatti S. D. N. 🟨,
71', Raccio J. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Acosta E. ⚽, Rostagno D. (A),
76', Melo R. 🟨,
77', Dubini K. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
78', Correa J. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
79', Acosta E. ↓, Salas T. ↑,
84', Bernardi B. 🟨,
85', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Pioli L. ↑,
85', Rostagno D. ↓, Albarracin M. ↑,
87', Raccio J. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
87', Hermoso A. ↓, Gomez Y. ↑,
89', Melo R. ↓, Dure F. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 0.

Acassuso has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CA Estudiantes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CA Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

CA Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Acassuso - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	All Boys - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Acassuso - Los Andes	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Godoy Cruz - Acassuso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.03.19	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1
15.10.18	Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso	2:1
22.04.18	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2
05.12.17	Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso	0:0
24.06.17	Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso	1:1
10.12.16	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1
22.05.16	Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso	0:0

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