The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 49.6%
Draw 32.1%
Racing de Córdoba 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
34.1%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
33.1%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
7.1%
7.1%
Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes de Caseros will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 11. Acosta E. 4. Albarracin M. 9. Almiron E. 7. Ardiles F. 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 10. Correa J. 5. Melo R. 3. Quinteros F. 8. Sena F.
1. Olivera B. (G) 2. Aranda G. 3. Bay J. 4. Chamorro R. 9. Chavarria P. (C) 6. Gomez Pereyra M. 11. Gonzalez S. 5. Kummer T. 7. Machado M. 8. Olinick A. 10. Viano L.
Substitutes
20. Acosta M. 13. Bernardi B. 16. Camacho S. 17. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 18. Nunez M. 15. Squie T. 19. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)
14. Avila L. 15. Diaz E. 12. Laborda G. (G) 19. Monticelli F. 16. Rinaudo S. 13. Sanchez M. 20. Taborda F. 18. Valsangiacomo I. 17. Vega G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Olinick A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Gomez Pereyra M. 🟨,
55', Chamorro R. 🟨,
63', Machado M. ↓, Rinaudo S. ↑,
63', Viano L. ↓, Taborda F. ↑,
64', Almiron E. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
64', Acosta E. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Acosta M. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Quinteros F. ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
72', Albarracin M. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
72', Kummer T. ↓, Monticelli F. ↑,
80', Chamorro R. ↓, Valsangiacomo I. ↑,
80', Bay J. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
80', Correa J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Valsangiacomo I. ⚽, Gomez Pereyra M. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
CA Estudiantes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Racing de Córdoba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, CA Estudiantes is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Racing de Córdoba - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.