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Current Win Probability
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 38.6%
Draw 27.5%
Chernomorets Burgas 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
24.4%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
26.2%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo's form might have worsened.
Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Burgas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Chernomorets Burgas Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Etar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chernomorets Burgas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Videnov N. (G) 4. Aleksandrov G. 17. Atanasov A. 20. Borisov M. 16. Dobrev S. 7. Ivanov R. 14. Naydenov R. 13. Pemperski A. 27. Tsanev T. 9. Ushagelov T. 8. Vasilev V.
15. Argilashki G. (G) 13. Correia 6. Dimitrov A. 11. Dobrev K. 5. Drame Y. 4. Klimentov I. 10. Kolev K. 96. Kostenski R. 9. Petkov Z. 8. Yanchev E. 30. Zhelyazkov N.
Substitutes
15. Borisov N. 22. Hristov A. (G) 6. Ivanov G. 10. Ivaylov Ch. 25. Makaveev S. 77. Nikolov M. 18. Petrov P. 28. Peychev E. 26. Tsvetkov H. 19. Velichkov K. 2. Zografov P.
12. Altanov D. (G) 77. Hamdiev O. 23. Morris J. 19. Pavlov D. 66. Staykov G. 22. Stefanov S. 24. Stoimenov D. 17. Tsonev M. 98. Yoskov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
62', 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th and 5th).
Etar is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chernomorets Burgas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Etar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Etar has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Etar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).