Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.10
	2.11	3.58	3.05
	2.13	3.63	2.93	Watch
	2.06	3.39	2.74
	2.11	3.71	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
43.7%

Draw
25.7%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Predictions

Users Predictions: Hebar Pazardzhik will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yankov M. (G) 3. Krastev A. 98. Mihaylov I. 55. Mihaylov M. 7. Pavlov K. 89. Quao L. 19. Roemer Y. 96. Sadetinov D. 33. Tilev I. 84. Tisovski S. 4. Tsonkov S.	1. Martinov A. (G) 4. Aleksandrov G. 17. Atanasov A. 20. Borisov M. 15. Borisov N. 16. Dobrev S. 6. Ivanov G. 7. Ivanov R. 18. Petrov P. 27. Tsanev T. 8. Vasilev V.
Substitutes
18. Arshev P. 6. Georgiev M. 92. Gergisharov T. 1. Gruev B. (G) 20. Kuzev E. 9. Vangelov M.	10. Ivaylov Ch. 21. Markov I. 14. Naydenov R. 77. Nikolov M. 26. Tsvetkov H. 9. Ushagelov T. 19. Velichkov K. 23. Videnov N. (G) 2. Zografov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Etar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hebar	11	4	2	5	24:19	5	14
11	Etar	10	4	2	4	17:19	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.09.26	Spartak Pleven - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Fratria	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ludogorets II - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
18.08.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWW
- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.09.26	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - CSKA Sofia II	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Vihren Sandanski - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Rilski Sportist	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.05.26	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1
08.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:1
06.04.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:0
08.10.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:5
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.12.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1
04.08.21	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:4

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