Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Welayta Dicha

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.58	2.98
	2.64	2.63	2.95
	2.76	2.48	3.12	Watch
	2.6	2.5	2.9
	2.57	2.63	2.92	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.2)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
35.4%

Draw
34.8%

Welayta Dicha
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 2.

Ethiopian Medhin has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Welayta Dicha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ethiopian Medhin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ethiopian Medhin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Welayta Dicha	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.78%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Welayta Dicha - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
15.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
24.04.26	Bench Maji Buna - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWW
- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
14.05.26	Welayta Dicha - Saint George	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	2:3 ✺
04.05.26	Welayta Dicha - Hadiya Hossana	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
01.03.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:1
11.01.25	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
17.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2
19.10.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:1
16.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	2:2
21.10.22	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1

Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide