Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.58	2.92
	2.75	2.52	3.16
	2.72	2.54	3.06	Watch
	2.5	2.5	2.88
	2.61	2.82	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.81)	2.59 ↓ (2.71)	3.01 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
34.5%

Draw
35.2%

Hawassa City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

33.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Hefamo T. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Erbo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, Erbo A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hawassa City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	5	50
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	-1	46

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.73%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Hawassa City - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Cup
24.04.26	Bench Maji Buna - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
20.04.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTTL
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.12.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1
03.04.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
30.03.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:2
26.10.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0
23.05.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2
28.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	0:0

Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide