Match Info

Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Ethnikos Achnas (Achna)

Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Ethnikos Achna		Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	2.75	3.5	2.34
	2.85	3.44	2.36	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.83
	2.77	3.6	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (1.84)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)	2.18 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethnikos Achna
30.5%

Draw
26.6%

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethnikos Achna's form might have worsened.

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethnikos Achna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Karmiotissa will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karmiotissa: 59.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Karmiotissa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Karmiotissa (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Flores L. (G) 29. Bahanack P. 11. Bonetto J. 98. Breno Almeida 5. De Iriondo M. 8. Lipski P. 16. Panagiotou P. 10. Pechlivanis M. 24. Psaltis P. 9. Sobiech A. 28. Stylianou M. (C)	93. Epassy D. (G) 29. Andreou P. 2. Antoniou M. 20. Artymatas P. 13. Delmiro 37. Franchu 80. Giousis C. 90. Kampetsis A. 11. Kovacevic B. 8. Neofytou A. (C) 16. Tsoukalas S.
Substitutes
33. Andereggen N. 77. Christofi D. 17. Gonzalez P. 19. Hernandez R. 7. Ilia K. 20. Milinceanu N. 37. Ofori R. 45. Papastylianou M. (G) 6. Peratikos M. 25. Saadi J. 94. Tetour D. 50. Tzouliou D.	99. Bamba I. D. 26. Christoforou K. 33. Englezou N. 24. Gradinaru R. 6. Hocko D. 9. Kvirkvia M. 4. Malone D. 75. Mattheou N. 1. Spoljaric A. (G) 10. Stojanovic L. 77. Vrikkis A. 22. Yeddes S. (G)
Coaches
Badia D.	Garpozis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Artymatas P. 🟨,
31', Flores L. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Giousis C. (Pen),
44', Bonetto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Breno Almeida ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
46', Sobiech A. ↓, Andereggen N. ↑,
48', Kampetsis A. 🟨,
55', Franchu ↓, Stojanovic L. ↑,
60', Bahanack P. 🟨,
60', Neofytou A. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Andereggen N. (Pen),
63', Kovacevic B. 🟨,
66', Kovacevic B. 🟨,
71', Pechlivanis M. ↓, Ofori R. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Lipski P. ⚽,
80', Antoniou M. ↓, Hocko D. ↑,
80', Delmiro ↓, Englezou N. ↑,
82', Ofori R. 🟨,
83', Stylianou M. ↓, Peratikos M. ↑,
87', Giousis C. ↓, Bamba I. D. ↑,
87', Andreou P. ↓, Kvirkvia M. ↑,
90+7', Bonetto J. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Ethnikos Achna: Ioannou P. (Injury) Lomotey E. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36:27 (average 2.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ethnikos Achna won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:12 (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
05.04.25	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia 29is Maiou	3:1 ✺
31.03.25	Anorthosis - Ethnikos Achna	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Paphos - Ethnikos Achna	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Ethnikos Achna - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTTL
- Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
Cypriot First Division
05.04.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Anorthosis	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Enosis Neon Paralimni	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Anorthosis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
09.02.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	0:0
03.11.24	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:2
07.04.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	1:4
24.02.24	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1
07.01.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	1:1
23.09.23	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:0
13.04.21	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	2:4

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