Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Ethnikos Achnas (Achna)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Ethnikos Achna		Nea Salamis

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.14	3.55	3.05
	2.17	3.55	3.07
	2.21	3.5	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.18	3.6	3.04	Watch
	2.14	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)	3.03 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethnikos Achna
43.2%

Draw
26.3%

Nea Salamis
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis Predictions

Users Predictions: Ethnikos Achna will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Flores L. (G) 33. Andereggen N. 80. Angelopoulos G. N. 29. Bahanack P. 11. Bonetto J. 5. De Iriondo M. 17. Gonzalez P. 8. Lipski P. 12. Lomotey E. 37. Ofori R. 24. Psaltis P.	1. Melissas N. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 3. de Lucas L. 22. Durmisi R. 23. Frangos A. 12. Gbelle G. 5. Michail A. 45. Plumain A. 11. Tabekou S. 4. Tomovic N. 14. Vellios A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bonetto J. 🟨,
36', Frangos A. ↓, Bejarano Da. ↑,
45+4', Gbelle G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Lipski P. ↓, Tetour D. ↑,
60', Gbelle G. ↓, Carlitos ↑,
64', Bejarano Da. 🟨,
74', Michail A. 🟨,
75', Psaltis P. ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
75', Bahanack P. ↓, Pechlivanis M. ↑,
77', Tabekou S. ↓, Durmishaj F. ↑,
77', Plumain A. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
82', Gonzalez P. ↓, Sobiech A. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Vellios A. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, Lomotey E. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 2.

Recent matches Ethnikos Achna is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nea Salamis is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ethnikos Achna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ethnikos Achna will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Ioannou L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nea Salamis: Koumpari K. (Knee Injury) Narsingh L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Nea Salamis: Diakite A. (Inactive) Leuko S. (Inactive) Viktoros G. (Inactive)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:30 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ethnikos Achna won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
09.03.25	Paphos - Ethnikos Achna	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Ethnikos Achna - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia 29is Maiou	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ethnikos Achna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTWT
- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
08.03.25	Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Nea Salamis - Omonia Aradippou	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - Nea Salamis	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Nea Salamis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
04.01.25	Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna	0:3
14.09.24	Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis	2:3
27.04.24	Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna	2:1
17.03.24	Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis	2:0
03.01.24	Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis	2:3
25.10.23	Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna	4:0
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis	4:1

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