Match Info

3. Lig Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Etimesgut		İnkılap

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.25	5.9
	1.55	3.83	5.96
	1.59	3.73	5.44
	1.55	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	5.66 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etimesgut
59.8%

Draw
23.9%

İnkılap
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etimesgut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

İnkılap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etimesgut than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İnkılap than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Etimesgut - İnkılap Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Ozdemir A. ⚽, Bozan O. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Etimesgut have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

İnkılap has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Etimesgut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Etimesgut is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etimesgut SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
27.09.25	Kestel Çilekspor - Etimesgut	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Etimesgut - 1926 Polatlı	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bursa Nilüferspor - Etimesgut	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Etimesgut - Silivrispor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.09.25	Etimesgut - Karadeniz Ereğli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- İnkılap FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
04.10.25	İnkılap - 1926 Polatlı	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Bursa Nilüferspor - İnkılap	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	İnkılap - Silivrispor	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Bulvarspor - İnkılap	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	İnkılap - Küçükçekmece	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTL

Etimesgut - İnkılap: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide