Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday


	Etoile de LEst		Espoir

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.4	5
	1.59	3.4	4.8
	1.63	3.59	4.53
	1.53	3.62	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.54)	3.5 ↑ (2.71)	5.13 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etoile de LEst
56.7%

Draw
25.7%

Espoir
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

33.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etoile de LEst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Etoile de LEst's performance.

Espoir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espoir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etoile de LEst than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Etoile de LEst that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoir than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espoir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Etoile de LEst - Espoir Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Etoile de LEst will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Espoir will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etoile de LEst: 40% – 93.4%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Etoile de L'Est is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Espoir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Etoile de L'Est could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Etoile de L'Est won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etoile de LEst FC
Rwanda Premier League
07.05.22	Etoile de LEst - Marines	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	APR - Etoile de LEst	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Etoile de LEst - Bugesera	0:1 ✺
15.04.22	Rutsiro - Etoile de LEst	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Etoile de LEst - Mukura Victory Sports	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLT
- Espoir FC Rwanda
Rwanda Premier League
07.05.22	Espoir - APR	2:3 ✺
29.04.22	Bugesera - Espoir	1:0 ✺
22.04.22	Espoir - Rutsiro	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Mukura Victory Sports - Espoir	1:2 ✺
20.03.22	Espoir - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
15.01.22	Espoir - Etoile de LEst	0:0

Etoile de LEst - Espoir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide