Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Etoile de LEst		Mukura Victory Sports

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.85	2.40
	2.70	2.85	2.35
	2.96	2.99	2.45
	2.80	2.90	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.77)	2.9 ↓ (2.92)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etoile de LEst
31.8%

Draw
30.9%

Mukura Victory Sports
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etoile de LEst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Mukura Victory Sports have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Etoile de LEst - Mukura Victory Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Arigumaho S. ⚽, Bizimungu O. (A),
79', 1 - 1, Boateng Mensah A. ⚽, Niyonizeye F. (A),

Preview

Etoile de LEst could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Etoile de LEst has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Etoile de LEst against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Mukura Victory Sports	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10
16	Etoile de L'Est	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etoile de LEst FC
Rwanda Premier League
15.09.26	Etoile de LEst - Gicumbi	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Etoile de LEst - Kigali	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Amagaju - Etoile de LEst	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Etoile de LEst - Bugesera	0:3 ✺
02.04.24	Etoile de LEst - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Mukura Victory Sports
Rwanda Premier League
11.10.26	Amagaju - Mukura Victory Sports	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Police	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
Rwanda Super Cup
27.08.26	Kiyovu Sports - Mukura Victory Sports	1:0 ✺
Rwanda Premier League
30.05.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Amagaju	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
03.02.24	Etoile de LEst - Mukura Victory Sports	0:2
17.09.23	Mukura Victory Sports - Etoile de LEst	0:3
19.03.22	Etoile de LEst - Mukura Victory Sports	0:0
04.12.21	Mukura Victory Sports - Etoile de LEst	4:0

Etoile de LEst - Mukura Victory Sports