Match Info

RWANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Etoile de LEst		Kiyovu Sports

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.46	2.77	2.96
	2.46	2.77	2.97
	2.31	3.04	3
	3.25	2.85	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.81)	2.93 ↓ (3.28)	2.8 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etoile de LEst
36.1%

Draw
31.3%

Kiyovu Sports
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etoile de LEst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Kiyovu Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kiyovu Sports might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etoile de LEst than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiyovu Sports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Etoile de LEst - Kiyovu Sports Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Etoile de LEst will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Etoile de LEst is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kiyovu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etoile de LEst could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Etoile de LEst have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Etoile de LEst won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Etoile de LEst won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etoile de LEst FC
Rwanda Premier League
05.03.24	APR - Etoile de LEst	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Kigali - Etoile de LEst	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Muhazi United - Etoile de LEst	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Etincelles - Etoile de LEst	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Etoile de LEst - Mukura Victory Sports	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWLTL
- SC Kiyovu Sports
Rwanda Premier League
01.03.24	Kiyovu Sports - Police	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Marines - Kiyovu Sports	3:0 ✺
16.02.24	Kiyovu Sports - Amagaju	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Gorilla - Kiyovu Sports	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Kiyovu Sports - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
27.10.23	Kiyovu Sports - Etoile de LEst	6:1
23.05.22	Kiyovu Sports - Etoile de LEst	1:1
19.01.22	Etoile de LEst - Kiyovu Sports	0:0

Etoile de LEst - Kiyovu Sports