Match Info

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Etoile de LEst		Gorilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.65
	2.56	2.86	2.75
	2.56	2.86	2.75
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.66	2.63	2.85
	2.49	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	2.82 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etoile de LEst
36.2%

Draw
31.8%

Gorilla
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etoile de LEst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etoile de LEst than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Iradukunda S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Etoile de LEst is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gorilla is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gorilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Etoile de LEst have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Etoile de LEst won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Etoile de LEst won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etoile de LEst FC
Rwanda Premier League
29.03.24	Gasogi United - Etoile de LEst	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Etoile de LEst - Kiyovu Sports	1:0 ✺
05.03.24	APR - Etoile de LEst	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Kigali - Etoile de LEst	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Muhazi United - Etoile de LEst	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWLWL
- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
10.03.24	Marines - Gorilla	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Gorilla - Amagaju	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gorilla - Bugesera	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Gasogi United - Gorilla	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Gorilla - Kiyovu Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
24.11.23	Gorilla - Etoile de LEst	1:0
13.06.22	Etoile de LEst - Gorilla	0:0
24.01.22	Gorilla - Etoile de LEst	2:3

Etoile de LEst - Gorilla

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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