Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck)


	Etzella Ettelbruck		Wiltz 71

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.1	3.65	1.95
	3.17	3.8	2.03
	3.18	3.64	1.96
	3.15	3.7	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	3.66 (3.66)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
28.9%

Draw
24.8%

Wiltz 71
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

24.6%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

24.3%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Etzella Ettelbruck have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Wiltz 71 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiltz 71 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etzella won 2.

Etzella has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wiltz 71 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wiltz 71 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Etzella won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Etzella won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
16.10.22	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Käerjéng 97	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	F91 Dudelange - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:0 ✺
10.09.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Swift Hesperange	0:4 ✺
04.09.22	Mondorf-les-Bains - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Wiltz 71
Luxembourg National Division
16.10.22	Wiltz 71 - Pétange	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	4:3 ✺
18.09.22	Wiltz 71 - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Hostert - Wiltz 71	2:3 ✺
04.09.22	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
12.03.22	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:2
22.09.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71	3:1
30.05.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71	1:3
13.05.16	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:2
29.11.15	Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71	1:1
10.05.15	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1
02.11.14	Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71	2:1

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