Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 3

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)


	Eupen		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.33	Watch
	7.5	5	1.39
	6.75	4.75	1.45
	7.68	5.39	1.38
	6.95	5	1.4	Watch
	7.2	5.2	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (5.68)	5.02 ↑ (4.15)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
13.2%

Draw
18.9%

Club Brugge
67.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.6%

22.6%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

21.8%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club Brugge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Eupen - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Brugge will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slonina G. (G) 15. Magnee G. 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 3. Davidson J. 2. Van Genechten Y. 6. Baiye B. 35. Lambert B. 14. Deom J. 7. Nuhu I. 10. Charles-Cook R.	22. Mignolet S. (G) 17. Buchanan T. 58. Spileers J. 44. Mechele B. 55. De Cuyper M. 15. Onyedika R. 10. Vetlesen H. 7. Skov Olsen A. 20. Vanaken H. 77. Zinckernagel P. 99. Igor Thiago
Substitutes
29. Alloh T. 23. Christie-Davies I. 25. Filin A. 18. Keita A. 21. Kral J. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 99. Roufosse T. (G)	29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 32. Nusa A. 4. Ordonez J. 64. Sabbe K. 8. Skoras M. 61. Vroman K. (G) 70. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Deila R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Brugge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brugge is a favorite.

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Knock) Bitumazala N. (Muscle Injury) Filin A. (Injury) Mohwald K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eupen: Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Gorenc J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Bursik J. (Knee Injury) Jutgla F. (Injury) Talbi C. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-43.

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.08.23	Genk - Eupen	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Eupen - Westerlo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Eupen - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Eupen - Charleroi	4:0 ✺
30.06.23	Alemannia Aachen - Eupen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.5 WTWWL
- Club Brugge
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Club Brugge - KA Akureyri	5:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.08.23	Westerlo - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	AGF Aarhus - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.23	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Club Brugge - AGF Aarhus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.04.23	Club Brugge - Eupen	7:0
31.07.22	Eupen - Club Brugge	2:1
20.02.22	Eupen - Club Brugge	1:3
25.07.21	Club Brugge - Eupen	2:2
26.12.20	Club Brugge - Eupen	3:0
16.08.20	Eupen - Club Brugge	0:4
16.08.19	Club Brugge - Eupen	0:0

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